avturchin

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LessWrong commenter on Bayesian reasoning and COVID-19 origins

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) research-policy (1) × world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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avturchin votes For and says:

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My point was that in some cases the update can be so strong that it overrides all reasonable uncertainties in priors and personal estimates. And exactly this makes Bayes’ theorem useful and strong instrument.
AI Verified source (Feb 21, 2024)

added 3h ago