Greg D

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LessWrong commenter on Bayesian reasoning and probability estimates

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) × research-policy (1) world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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Greg D votes Against and says:

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The former case is cause to relax; the latter is not. Yeah, in a sense this is obvious. But it's a reminder that seeing a probability estimate isn't a substitute for real diligence.
Unverified source (Jan 12, 2026)

added 3h ago