DD David Dalrymple

I do think that what we have is adequate in the sense that with system prompting alone it seems possible to get over the hump of being able to trust recursive self improvement. And so automated alignment research, delegating the discovery of these te...

In 2024 I would have said it's about 40-50% likely that LLMs scaled up to ASI would end up killing us all; now I would say that it's only about 5-8% likely even with no additional progress on alignment, and more like 1-2% likely simpliciter.