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Jonathan
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covid-19-origins (3)
flf-epistack (3)
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health (3)
public-health (3)
research-policy (3)
disinformation (2)
world (2)
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Jonathan
votes For
and says:
Multiplying the share of markets (1 and 2) by the share of HSM within markets (3), we converge to around 3-5%.
AI Verified source (Apr 1, 2024) 1 of 17
added 2mo ago
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The clustering of early cases around the Huanan market reflects where the COVID-19 virus emerged, not just where testing looked
273 opinions
Jonathan
votes Against
and says:
The HSM early cluster is therefore negligible as evidence. Our analysis assigns it 2x.
AI Verified source (Apr 1, 2024)
added 2mo ago
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Jonathan
votes For
and says:
Zoonosis is a more likely hypothesis due to being better supported by the evidence – This is completely untrue, but to fully understand it one has to commit to learning how to do probabilistic inference correctly, which Scott could not free enough ti...
more AI Verified source (Apr 1, 2024)
added 2mo ago
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