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Good Judgment Inc
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Forecasting organization known for aggregated probabilistic judgments by Superforecasters.
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covid-19-origins (2)
disinformation (2)
flf-epistack (2)
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health (2)
public-health (2)
research-policy (2)
world (2)
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Good Judgment Inc
votes For
and says:
The Superforecasters frequently referenced base rates, i.e., the history of pandemics emerging from natural zoonosis versus the history of laboratory leaks, to anchor their probabilities.
AI Verified source (Mar 11, 2024)
added 15d ago
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Good Judgment Inc
votes Against
and says:
Superforecasters assess that natural zoonosis is three times more likely to be the cause of the Covid-19 pandemic than either a biomedical research-related accident or some other process or mechanism.
AI Verified source (Mar 11, 2024)
added 20d ago