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Scott Sumner votes Against and says:
Both look at the same data set. Both use Bayesian reasoning. One says 100,000,000-1 lab leak and one says somewhere between 10,000-1 and 10,000,000-1 zoonosis. [...] even with this sort of methodological agreement, they end up about as far apart as t...
more AI Verified source (Aug 16, 2024)