Anthropic

If AI delivers even a fraction of its potential, it could generate unprecedented abundance. We could see decades of scientific progress compressed into years, and levels of productivity growth that today seem implausible.

Because effective tax rates on labor substantially exceed those on capital, a shift in national income from labor toward capital means the current tax system captures a shrinking share of a growing economy, even as the cost of sustained income suppor...

Establish universal pre-distributive capital accounts. We should give every American a direct financial stake in the economy at the moment when AI is fueling growth.

We find no systematic increase in unemployment for highly exposed workers since late 2022, though we find suggestive evidence that hiring of younger workers has slowed in exposed occupations.

But if that happens, it's likely that AI will have acted as a general substitute for labor: these gains could come with a reduction in demand for human work that is difficult or impossible for many workers to absorb. In this world, the central econom...