Zach H

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Statistical Modeling blog commenter on virology, Bayesian analysis, and COVID-19 origins

Speaks on: Covid 19 Origins Disinformation Health Public Health Research Policy

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covid-19-origins (1) × disinformation (1) health (1) public-health (1) research-policy (1) world (1)

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Bayesian analysis is the right framework for settling the COVID-19 origins question
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Zach H votes For and says:

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Instead of a Bayes factor of 0.25, we get a Bayes factor of 11.95 because one reasonable model (early cases predict locations of subsequent cases) is compared to an unreasonable model (everyone is infected by raccoon dogs).
Unverified source (Feb 5, 2025)

added 3h ago