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Tommaso Costa
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covid-19-origins (3)
flf-epistack (3)
health (3)
public-health (3)
research-policy (3)
disinformation (2)
world (2)
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Tommaso Costa
votes Against
and says:
Using a log-normal model to allow for a fourfold uncertainty in early counts, the data are about 10 times more likely under the market-origin scenario than the lab-origin scenario. My calculation was a deliberately simple likelihood comparison: given...
more AI Verified source (Aug 13, 2025)
added 10d ago
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The clustering of early cases around the Huanan market reflects where the COVID-19 virus emerged, not just where testing looked
278 opinions
Tommaso Costa
votes For
and says:
Using a log-normal model to allow for a fourfold uncertainty in early counts, the data are about 10 times more likely under the market-origin scenario than the lab-origin scenario. My calculation was a deliberately simple likelihood comparison: given...
more AI Verified source (Aug 13, 2025)
added 10d ago
-
Tommaso Costa
votes For
and says:
Using a log-normal model to allow for a fourfold uncertainty in early counts, the data are about 10 times more likely under the market-origin scenario than the lab-origin scenario. My calculation was a deliberately simple likelihood comparison: given...
more AI Verified source (Aug 13, 2025)
added 10d ago