Anthropic

If policymakers in the US and allied democracies act to close these two channels propping up China’s AI models—illicit and evasive compute access and illicit model access—then we have a potentially once-in-a-generation opportunity to secure our lead.

We do not believe that today’s frontier AI models are reliable enough to be used in fully autonomous weapons. Allowing current models to be used in this way would endanger America’s warfighters and civilians.

If it were possible to effectively slow the development of this technology to give ourselves more time to deal with its immense implications, we think that would likely be a good thing. But if a slowdown simply lets the least cautious actors catch up...

we propose that AI developers pre-register large training runs [...] within their home country’s government [...] plausible bar for now would be 10^26 FLOP or higher.