Governments and labs should build the capability for a global slowdown of frontier AI development in case it's needed

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Key insights

Across both sides, international coordination is central; the main dispute is whether it can be made global and verifiable enough to work (16633, 14578, 14492, 13709, 9772).
Many supporters frame the proposal as building the option to slow down if needed, not necessarily imposing an immediate blanket pause today (9913, 16580, 16579, 16743).
A notable share of the pro case comes from frontier-lab employees describing AI systems already speeding up AI research itself, which they say compresses the time available for safety work and social adaptation (16740, 16742, 16736, 16735).
Even within the supportive camp, mechanism design is contested: some warn that a bad slowdown could concentrate power, create a regulatory moat, or otherwise make things worse (16746, 16785, 16633, 16577).
Opponents' quotes focus more on feasibility, enforcement, and strategic asymmetry than on claiming frontier AI poses no serious risk at all (13709, 9772, 13714, 14035).

Arguments for

Emergency option beforehand

Proponents say governments and labs should build the technical, legal, and governance tools for deliberate pacing before any emergency, because inventing them during a crisis would be rushed and error-prone. They frame this as creating an emergency option or "off switch" that can be used if frontier AI becomes too risky.

We have found a way to turn energy into compute, and compute into intelligence. The benefits will be enormous, from curing diseases to understanding the cosmos. We can capture the benefits of the coming intelligence explosion while managing its risks, but only if we build the too…

Jasjeet Sekhon · Jul 2026 · full quote
Signed because this statement helps establish common knowledge about the possible need for coordination mechanisms as automated AI research accelerates progress. I'd also like to see labs start designing these mechanisms voluntarily, even before the USG gets involved.

John Schulman · Jul 2026 · full quote
I believe that attempting to deliberately pace AI development will be extremely difficult, and could do more harm than good if done without proper care. However, I am signing this statement because, if an attempt at pacing does occur, it would be better for it to have been method…

Danny Sawyer · Jul 2026 · full quote
While I don't believe the pace of current AI capabilities development is *yet* dangerous, it's important to have the option to slow down in case we need it. Further, accelerating AI R&D over the next couple years could make the pace of progress dangerous. I've seen how the relent…

Jeremy Hadfield · Jul 2026 · full quote
An off switch refers to building the necessary technical, legal, and institutional infrastructure to make it possible for humanity to shut down unsafe AI systems and AI projects. It will also make it possible to verify that there is no dangerous AI development globally, if humani…

Alana Horowitz Friedman · 2026 · full quote
OpenAI has long believed there should ultimately be an international organization that helps coordinate leading AI efforts to reduce catastrophic risk. One goal of such an organization should be to make it possible for the world to take coordinated action, including slowing front…

OpenAI · Jun 8, 2026 · full quote

Buy time for safety

Supporters argue that alignment, oversight, and broader governance are not ready for much more capable systems, and that safety teams are already sprinting to keep up. A coordinated slowdown would buy time for technical AI safety research, better oversight methods, and societal structures to catch up.

The option to buy time would be extremely useful to enable more progress on technical AI safety and alignment research. In particular, we need to develop better oversight methods, to match the pace of increasing AI capabilities. Oversight is a tractable problem, but we need more …

Zachary Kenton · Jul 2026 · full quote
With the current rate of AI progress, safety teams at AI companies have to sprint to prevent new risks to society every few months. At some point, we’re going to hit problems we need more time to solve.

Ethan Perez · Jul 2026 · full quote
Superhuman AI is likely to arrive very soon (within 3-10 years). Technical controls and governance might allow humans to remain in control of it, but they're not on track to be ready. Think of it as playing chess against a superintelligence. You won't have a miraculous insight th…

Michael Tontchev · Jul 2026 · full quote
Artificial general intelligence is a brilliant coworker; artificial superintelligence is an alien. AGI thinks ten times faster than you, and can be a wonderful source of scientific and human progress; ASI is to humans what humans are to ants, and is terrifying. Deliberately pacin…

Naomi Bashkansky · Jul 2026 · full quote
If you delay the advent of superintelligence, then that gives society more time to prepare and more time to solve the various problems that it represents.

Daniel Kokotajlo · Jul 9, 2026 · full quote
We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporarily pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advance of the technology.

Anthropic Institute · Jun 2026 · full quote

Race to the bottom

Many supporters say no lab or country can safely slow down alone, because commercial and geopolitical competition pushes actors to trade safety for speed. They therefore call for international coordination so all major actors can move at a safer pace instead of racing to the bottom.

I think it's inherently valuable to build international governance mechanisms to enable responsible deployment and avoid a possible race to the bottom. All labs and countries moving as fast as possible out of fear of what other actors will do seems like an easy way to incentivize…

Chang Sun · Jul 2026 · full quote
Individual firms may prefer a slower and safer race, but competitive pressure makes it difficult for any one company to slow down on its own.

Wioletta Dziuda · Jun 29, 2026 · full quote
We can't do this unless everyone does. It needs to be global. Right now we have no way to do that. We need to build a way for us to all slow down.

Saul Reynolds-Haertle · Jul 2026 · full quote
This is where UN and more generally international cooperation can step in to make sure that there is international pressure to progress at a safe pace so we can actually capture the AI benefits that the increasing capabilities are bringing, and not succumb to this loss of control…

Jan Tallinn · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote
If there wasn’t national and international coordination to prevent us from losing control of that, we would lose control of that.

Jeffrey Ladish · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
If it were possible to effectively slow the development of this technology to give ourselves more time to deal with its immense implications, we think that would likely be a good thing. But if a slowdown simply lets the least cautious actors catch up technologically, it could lea…

Anthropic · 2026 · full quote

Institutions lag rapid progress

Another pro case is that frontier AI and AI-assisted AI research are accelerating so quickly that society, defenders, and institutions may not adapt in time. Supporters link this not only to loss-of-control risk but also to labor, democratic, environmental, cyber, and biological harms.

I lead pretraining at Anthropic, which is responsible for training the base models behind Claude. Every month, more work is done by the models themselves: infrastructure implementation, code optimization, and experiment design and analysis. This has drastically altered how we wor…

Nicholas Joseph · Jul 2026 · full quote
At the current pace, every couple of weeks there will be new models which significantly increase the consequences of model misuse and misalignment. I worry that efforts to mitigate these risks may fail to keep up with the pace of development, and that margins for error will becom…

Micah Carroll · Jul 2026 · full quote
Humanity is not sufficiently prepared for the impacts of advanced AI in psychological, social, environmental, labour market, and military domains. With an inflection point in recursive AI self-improvement forecasted to be just around the corner, leaders of governments and frontie…

Dee Cattle · Jul 2026 · full quote
AI systems carry risks to safety, to labor markets, to democratic institutions, to the environment that are too consequential to be left to voluntary industry commitments alone. We need binding regulatory oversight of frontier AI development and deployment now, before it's too la…

Francesca Surraco · Jul 2026 · full quote
AI has the potential to enable rapid technological advancement that will benefit all of humanity, but the risks of AI-powered cyberattacks, CBRNE, and loss of control are real. We must ensure that we advance AI safety in lockstep with AI capabilities, which will only be possible …

Jason Bohrer · Jul 2026 · full quote
I have worked in AI for a decade. Every few months in the last years, I have found myself surprised again and again at how rapidly the technology advances, no matter how often I update my predictions. AI may end up progressing far more quickly than societies and states can adapt.…

Stephanie Chan · Jul 2026 · full quote

Arguments against

Global pause not enforceable

Opponents argue that a global slowdown is not realistic: the stakes are too high, decentralized compute and research are hard to monitor, and a moratorium would be unenforceable. Some therefore conclude that a global stop seems impossible or simply would not work.

My own view, after talking with colleagues in the AI Security Institute and the Alan Turing Institute, is that a moratorium would be unenforceable.

Lord Tarassenko · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
This would be practically impossible, because the economic and national security stakes are simply too high for any superpower to willingly hit the brakes now. [...] Tracking decentralized computing resources, private data centers and algorithmic research globally is far more dif…

Rob Enderle · 2026 · full quote
The conclusion is sobering: a global stop to the development of superintelligent AI seems impossible.

Job van den Berg · Feb 1, 2026 · full quote
I come from the position of saying that moratoriums will not work.

Lord Patel · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote

Unilateral restraint backfires

Another objection is that slowing responsible governments or labs could tie their hands while less responsible states or armed groups continue, leaving everyone worse off. From this view, suppressing development or having one lab stop training would not actually help and could betray national interests.

For me, a one-sided moratorium which ties our hands behind our backs while the likes of North Korea and the al-Qaedas of the world crack on: no, I am afraid that that worries me even more.

Lord Markham · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
The Technology Secretary rejected calls to pause the development of artificial intelligence, describing such a move as “a double betrayal” of British talent and British interests.

Liz Kendall · Apr 28, 2026 · full quote
We felt that it wouldn't actually help anyone for us to stop training AI models.

Jared Kaplan · Feb 24, 2026 · full quote
I hope that, when the Minister responds, she will confirm that the Government have no plan to suppress the development of ASI.

Lord Stevenson of Balmacara · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote

Middle ground

Only with verification

Several conditional supporters say a slowdown capability only makes sense if it is genuinely international, backed by verification, and implemented well. They warn that a partial or poorly designed arrangement could make things worse, even if the underlying problem is real.

Future AI will be extraordinarily powerful compared to anything that exists today, and dealing with this future power will require unprecedented measures, such as the ones described here. The problem statement is real. This works only if it is done internationally, and it has to…

Ilya Sutskever · Jul 2026 · full quote
It would have to be the case that all of the relevant AI players, including geopolitical adversaries, would have agree to it, and it would have be verifiable.

Dario Amodei · Jun 10, 2026 · full quote
Plan A is predicated on the ability to enforce an international deal to slow down AI progress without relying on trust. We are confident that verification measures can make this possible, by providing sufficient assurance to both the US and China that defection by the other would…

Romeo Dean · Jul 2026 · full quote
The question that the noble Lord posed was: do we therefore go for a moratorium? That would be highly desirable, but I do not think that it will be possible in the short term.

Baroness Neville-Jones · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
Given low international trust, signatories will want to verify compliance. This paper analyzes how such restrictions on AI research could be verified, while remaining agnostic about what specific research would be prohibited.

Aaron Scher · Jun 27, 2026 · full quote

Option, not immediate overreach

Some contributors support building capacity while stressing that current policy should avoid over-regulation and that the meaning of "deliberately pace" needs clarification. Their emphasis is on having a proportional option available for future transformative systems rather than imposing broad restrictions immediately.

Governments should avoid over-regulation in the short term while building up the institutional capacity needed to competently regulate extremely advanced or “transformative” future AI systems when and if these systems come into existence.

Charlie Bullock · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
I don't know what form such tools should take, nor whether automated AI R&D is the right or only thing that the U.S. government should develop increased capacity to understand and possibly pace, but this is worth serious consideration; however I hope such governance tools will no…

Joshua Achiam · Jul 2026 · full quote
Much more clarity will be needed on what is meant by the “ability to deliberately pace the frontier of AI development”, but I am supportive of international cooperation to define this.

Lauren Deason · Jul 2026 · full quote
While I don't believe the pace of current AI capabilities development is *yet* dangerous, it's important to have the option to slow down in case we need it. Further, accelerating AI R&D over the next couple years could make the pace of progress dangerous. I've seen how the relent…

Jeremy Hadfield · Jul 2026 · full quote

Design against concentration

Another nuanced view is that coordination mechanisms may be necessary, but they must not become a regulatory moat or concentrate control of AI in a few hands. These contributors want more open quantification of risks and mechanism design that avoids letting one actor dominate the future.

Many proposals for a slowdown or pause concentrate power — they centralize control of AI into a few hands and leave us worse off. I think we can do better. I’m signing because I believe we may need mechanisms to coordinate AI progress in the future, and inventing it in a crisis i…

Luke Drago · Jul 2026 · full quote
Supportive of this, but we should be careful not to use RSI narratives to create a regulatory moat. These risks need to be properly quantified, more openly, not derived from big labs narratives only!

Elie Bakouch · Jul 2026 · full quote
1. It's hard to know how to make AI go well. 2. I have respect for the technology that we are all working on, and our attitude should be one of seriousness and curiosity rather than dismissal and cynicism. 3. From here onward, there is no risk-free path towards the future. What…

Ilija Lichkovski · Jul 2026 · full quote

The debate centers on whether humanity should prepare an international emergency brake for frontier AI before a crisis arrives. Supporters argue that rapid capability gains, unresolved alignment and oversight problems, and intense race dynamics make such preparation prudent, while opponents doubt that any global slowdown can be enforced and fear that compliant actors would simply handicap themselves. Within the supportive camp, important questions remain about verification, proportionality, and how to avoid concentrating power in the mechanism itself.

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Results (167 votes):

Total (167 votes)

For 157 (94%) Abstain 1 (1%) Against 9 (5%)

For (155)

Ursula von der Leyen
President of the European Commission

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votes For and says:

As the frontier models become more capable, these risks have come more sharply into focus. Models being developed will allow hacking on a level we never thought possible. And they will soon be in the hands of adversaries who see the world very differ...
more AI Verified source (Sep 16, 2026)

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Chris Lehane
OpenAI chief global affairs officer

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votes For and says:

Governments should develop common ways to measure this progress, preserve meaningful human control, and establish shared safety bars for when and how development should slow or stop. If we cannot meet certain safety bars without slowing down capabili...
more AI Verified source (Sep 9, 2026)

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Jacob Coxon
AI safety researcher at Anthropic who publicly warned about risks from frontier AI development.

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votes For and says:

Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives.
AI Verified source (Sep 9, 2026)

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Jakub Pachocki
Chief Scientist at OpenAI; leads OpenAI's research strategy and major model development efforts

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votes For and says:

Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer. I expect and hope for voluntary slowdowns to become commonplace until shared safety bars are ...
more AI Verified source (Sep 6, 2026)

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Ellen Goodman
Professor at Rutgers Law School and co-founder of its Institute for Information Policy & Law.

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votes For and says:

I'm not sure that pauses don't work. I think labs are begging for what they call pacing. So it's not about a technology pause, but it's about a pause for governance.
AI Verified source (Sep 2, 2026)

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Rogé Karma
Staff writer at The Atlantic covering economics, technology, and public policy.

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votes For and says:

What humanity needs is an international AI nonproliferation treaty.
AI Verified source (Aug 27, 2026)

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Miles Brundage
AI policy researcher; founder of AVERI (AI Verification Initiative); former OpenAI Head of Policy Research

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votes For and says:

First, [companies] could voluntarily invite rigorous, independent auditing of their safety and security practices. [...] If an AI slowdown is needed, auditing would also reassure each company that their competitors are playing by the rules. [...] Thi...
more AI Verified source (Aug 21, 2026)

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Michael Dalton
Member of OpenAI's technical staff.

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votes For and says:

OpenAI has started consciously slowing down research to enhance security.
AI Verified source (Aug 7, 2026)

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Pacing the Frontier
A July 2026 open statement by more than 1,100 current and former frontier-AI employees calling for international technical and governance capacity to deliberately pace automated AI development.

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votes For and says:

We request that the U.S. government support an international effort to develop the technical and governance tools needed to deliberately pace the frontier of automated AI development.
AI Verified source (Jul 28, 2026) 1 of 2

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Nate Soares
AI safety researcher; MIRI president

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votes For and says:

I think we've got to take this as a warning shot to not make them smarter, and that probably is going to require global collaboration.
AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

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Demis Hassabis
Nobel laureate, AI Researcher and CEO of DeepMind

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votes For and says:

It is designed to keep up with the field’s acceleration and adapt to the biggest risks as they are identified, and could be ratcheted up if the seriousness of the situation demands, including coordinating a slowdown in development among the Frontier ...
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Thomas Larsen
AI Futures Project researcher writing on Plan A assumptions, AI governance, and AI safety strategy.

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votes For and says:

The plan calls for carefully reasoned interventions so the development would happen over the course of many, many years, maybe a decade or so, as opposed to just a single year.
AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

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Daniel Kokotajlo
AI Futures Project founder

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votes For and says:

If you delay the advent of superintelligence, then that gives society more time to prepare and more time to solve the various problems that it represents.
AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

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Jan Tallinn
Co-founder of the Future of Life Institute; technologist and AI safety advocate.

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votes For and says:

This is where UN and more generally international cooperation can step in to make sure that there is international pressure to progress at a safe pace so we can actually capture the AI benefits that the increasing capabilities are bringing, and not s...
more AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Jeffrey Ladish
Executive Director of Palisade Research; AI safety researcher focused on frontier AI controllability and cyber risks; former Anthropic information security lead

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votes For and says:

If there wasn’t national and international coordination to prevent us from losing control of that, we would lose control of that.
AI Verified source (Jul 6, 2026)

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Charlie Bullock
Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Law & AI, advising policymakers on AI governance and legal policy.

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votes For and says:

Governments should avoid over-regulation in the short term while building up the institutional capacity needed to competently regulate extremely advanced or “transformative” future AI systems when and if these systems come into existence.
AI Verified source (Jul 6, 2026)

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Victoria Krakovna
Research scientist at Google DeepMind focusing on AI alignment; co-founder of the Future of Life Institute.

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votes For and says:

It is very important to build capacity for a coordinated slowdown of AI development. A runaway race to AGI is not safe: it creates incentives to cut corners on safety, and carries a substantial risk for model capabilities to outpace development of ad...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Dee Cattle
Research Strategist for Ethics & Safety at Google; AI safety and governance researcher.

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votes For and says:

Humanity is not sufficiently prepared for the impacts of advanced AI in psychological, social, environmental, labour market, and military domains. With an inflection point in recursive AI self-improvement forecasted to be just around the corner, lead...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Shengjia Zhao
Chief Scientist at Meta AI; artificial-intelligence researcher.

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votes For and says:

AI is progressing at a rate that our society might not be ready for. Frontier labs are very close to AI that can exceed even the best people on almost every metric of intelligence. This will lead to unprecedented social and safety risks. To ensure a ...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Sebastian Starke
Staff Research Scientist at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI is starting to outpace us at an accelerating rate, and in a few years' time people might ask, "How could you not have seen this coming?" But answering that question in hindsight can be harder than acting proactively.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Yash Vanjani
Senior Research Engineer for Pretraining Infrastructure at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI has become so good that it has got quite easy to do LLM research and go from a research idea to training a model in 2-3 weeks compared to what would have taken 6 months without AI. Every 3months there is a new model which is much better than befor...
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Neel Redkar
Standard Intelligence employee; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Internal deployment is especially important to regulate because misalignment, an unsolved technical problem of a model failing to follow the full breadth of human instruction, poses a major risk. Misuse of AI capabilities in chemistry, biology, and m...
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Alejandro Xoconostle
Network Engineer at Meta; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

A transformative shift is coming. Regardless of whether we feel optimistic or pessimistic about it, our responsibility is to take every potential outcome seriously through collective monitoring and shared guidance.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Max Kaufmann
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Things are going too fast, a lot faster than I had thought even a year ago. I'm personally quite scared of the pace of progress.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Omar Mezenner
Member of Technical Staff at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

AI is transformative for all economically valuable domains. This transformation, if done too quickly without thoughtful foresight, will yield great benefits but at great cost.
AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Darshan Kalola
Applied AI Engineer at Anthropic; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

There is intense commercial pressure to win the AI race. Ensuring safety often requires making tradeoffs that hurt commercial interests. Therefore, I think its a good idea for better coordination between labs so we can build this technology safely, a...
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Michael Mulet
Anthropic employee; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

I'm signing because I want the U.S. to be at the table in this international effort, with a strong voice for our values, personal freedom included. AI has the potential to bring humanity to new heights, and I want to do what I can to use it to make a...
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Jasjeet Sekhon
Chief Strategy Officer at Google DeepMind; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

We have found a way to turn energy into compute, and compute into intelligence. The benefits will be enormous, from curing diseases to understanding the cosmos. We can capture the benefits of the coming intelligence explosion while managing its risks...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Naomi Bashkansky
Researcher at OpenAI; commenter on the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

Artificial general intelligence is a brilliant coworker; artificial superintelligence is an alien. AGI thinks ten times faster than you, and can be a wonderful source of scientific and human progress; ASI is to humans what humans are to ants, and is ...
more AI Verified source (Jul 2026)

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Alex Zhao
Research Scientist at OpenAI and signatory to the July 2026 Pacing the Frontier statement.

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votes For and says:

My opinion is that while coordination between American labs is feasible and could potentially be straightforward, the much larger and more significant threat is from a geopolitical arms race with China. Much as the Manhattan Project thought they migh...
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