Nations should negotiate a binding international treaty on AI safety, similar to nuclear non-proliferation

international-relations ai-ethics ai-regulation ai-safety research-policy regulations ai-policy ai-governance policy

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Arguments for

Global risks need joint rules

Supporters argue that AI safety and security cannot be handled by any country acting alone. Because the technology, its markets, and its risks cross borders, they say governance must be negotiated inclusively among states rather than through purely national rules or exclusionary blocs.

AI safety and security raise challenges that no single country can address alone.

Anne Le Hénanff · Jul 17, 2026 · full quote
Because something with such power, with such profound implications for our economies, our social systems, our defence and therefore our peace and security, but especially for even our homes, our food, our children's bedrooms, can only be meaningfully and safely managed together.

Annalena Baerbock · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
No nation, alliance or bloc can secure the safety of artificial intelligence by excluding its rivals. Intelligence encoded in software cannot be fenced. Export controls delay; they do not prevent. Every strategy of exclusion invites the excluded to build in parallel, in secret, a…

Alexandra Carvalho · Jul 5, 2026 · full quote
Artificial intelligence cannot effectively be regulated by national approaches alone. International coordination is necessary to manage the cross-border nature of AI markets and risks, to prevent regulatory fragmentation, and to safeguard common democratic and ethical principles.

Wade Hoxtell · Mar 25, 2026 · full quote
Given that AI research and development can be conducted, in effect, anywhere, regulation of the development of superintelligent AI is going to have to be global.

Viscount Camrose · Jan 26, 2026 · full quote
Pakistan, therefore, calls for safety norms to be developed through inclusive multilateral processes under the United Nations, where all nations participate as equals.

Government of Pakistan · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote

Voluntary measures are insufficient

Proponents say advice to companies, industry self-control, and voluntary principles no longer suffice. They call for enforceable international standards on transparency, oversight, accountability, and measurable progress, with national and supranational force where needed.

In the light of the news today that one of OpenAI’s agents went rogue in an experiment and attacked another AI start-up, does the Minister agree that this indicates an urgent need for global co-operation to agree safeguards and accountability frameworks? It seems that companies c…

Baroness Teather · Jul 22, 2026 · full quote
Surely the time for giving advice to the tech companies is over. I welcome the Government’s Bill on cyber security and resilience, but it does not extend to AI. Will the UK lead the way and co-ordinate a global agreement on the transparency, oversight and regulation of AI?

Baroness Berger · Jul 22, 2026 · full quote
Legal and governance frameworks must therefore be enforceable nationally and supra-nationally, voluntary principles are important, but they are not enough.

Russell Dlamini · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
Principles are necessary, but without mechanism and measurable progress, they are not sufficient. Algeria reiterates its commitment to arriving at a just, responsible global agreement at the service of humanity.

Sid Ali Zerouki · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
I strongly believe that we must build an international framework that allows AI to develop in a safe, trustworthy, and human-centered way. Take the military application of AI as a very real and concerning example. As AI integrates into defense systems and the conduct of warfare, …

Luc Frieden · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
Given the growing warnings from leading scientists, industry figures and Nobel laureates that advanced AI systems could pose existential risks on a par with nuclear or biological threats, does the Minister agree that the current reliance on voluntary commitments through the AI Se…

Iqbal Mohamed · May 20, 2026 · full quote

Rules for military AI

A major pro-treaty case focuses on military uses: advocates say current national and multilateral efforts fall short for autonomous weapons and AI in nuclear operations. They want legally binding limits, requirements for human control, and concrete obligations on how such systems are designed, tested, authorized, supervised, and reviewed.

So far, other national and multilateral efforts to establish rules of the road and/or legally-binding restrictions on AI uses in the military domain have fallen well short of what is necessary to address the risk of AI in nuclear operations.

Daryl G. Kimball · Jul 14, 2026 · full quote
This policy brief argues that states should negotiate a legally binding Treaty for Autonomous Weapons built around a two-tier model: prohibiting systems that cannot be lawfully controlled and regulating all remaining autonomous weapon systems through concrete duties on design, te…

Edmarverson A. dos Santos · Jul 10, 2026 · full quote
It is imperative that states initiate a global process toward a binding international instrument that bans and strictly regulates autonomous weapons systems (AWS).

Privacy International · Jun 17, 2026 · full quote
Sri Lanka has been strongly advocating for a legally binding instrument to address the challenges and concerns raised by emerging technologies in the area of lethal autonomous weapons systems, in particular through the ongoing and valuable work of the Group of Governmental Expert…

Sumith Dassanayake · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote
New, legally binding rules are urgently needed.

International Committee of the Red Cross · Jun 17, 2026 · full quote
Possible options include establishing an agreement to regulate autonomous systems, mandating human control over nuclear weapons and creating a UN-based institution to oversee responsible military applications of AI.

Michael C. Horowitz · Feb 19, 2026 · full quote

Prevent a dangerous AI race

Another line of support treats advanced AI as a race dynamic akin to nuclear danger: without an international deal, states and firms may be pushed toward faster capability development despite catastrophic or existential risks. On this view, treaties, pauses, or even prohibitions should come before an AI equivalent of Hiroshima forces action.

But there are no such agreed principles between global powers on AI. On nuclear, international agreement came only after the world saw the terrifying power of the new technology at Hiroshima — and asked what would happen if it fell into the wrong hands. We cannot afford to wait f…

Yvette Cooper · Jul 6, 2026 · full quote
We recommend an international deal between all major world powers to avoid a dangerous race to superintelligence.

AI Futures Project · Jul 9, 2026 · full quote
We need diplomacy focused on ending the AI arms race, and we need verifiable international agreements so that no company or country creates systems that can't be controlled.

Steven Adler · Jan 26, 2026 · full quote
Making progress towards a treaty to ban superintelligence — an artificial mind smarter than any human, capable of operating independently beyond our control. At the height of the Cold War, Reagan and Gorbachev found a way to negotiate nuclear arms control. The existential risk po…

Bernie Sanders · May 11, 2026 · full quote
This is our nuclear moment. Rapid AI advancement represents one of history’s most consequential and dangerous technological shifts. We demand that politicians and companies pause AGI development until international safety agreements are established. Join our global network standi…

PauseAI · Dec 31, 2025 · full quote
This far into an unchecked ASI race, only a US-China-led AI treaty — extraordinarily bold, timely and well-designed — can avoid an AI takeover, prevent an immense power concentration, and realize AI’s astounding promise.

Coalition for a Baruch Plan for AI · Jul 17, 2026 · full quote

Treaty mechanisms already emerging

Supporters also argue that treaty-based governance is practicable, not just aspirational, if it includes evidence, inspection, independent audit, and technical bodies that can update thresholds over time. They point to the first binding AI convention and related institutional designs as evidence that binding but flexible international arrangements can be built.

The AI Convention is binding, but flexible. And it is built not just for Europe, but for every country that believes AI must work for people — not over them.

Alain Berset · Jan 21, 2026 · full quote
First, let's sign and ratify the Framework Convention on Artificial Intelligence, Human Rights, Democracy and the Rule of Law. This is not a declaration of intent. It is the first binding international treaty of its kind anywhere in the world and Europe wrote it. Colleagues, let'…

Deborah Bergamini · Jun 24, 2026 · full quote
An agreement that cannot be verified is an aspiration, not an accord. Compliance with these principles must be demonstrable through evidence, inspection and independent audit.

The Global AI Accord · Jul 5, 2026 · full quote
The treaty would establish an international body—an AI Safety Organization—to administer it: a technical secretariat and inspectorate, a scientific panel to set and revise thresholds, a conference of parties as the decision-making organ, and a mechanism to update annexes without …

Naoto Nakada · May 15, 2026 · full quote
Building on the findings of a report on international AI verification, I contend that verifying behavior in the domain of artificial intelligence is possible, but it is not trivial. The problem of AI verification generally looks less like overseeing a child’s dental care and more…

Ben Harack · Apr 15, 2026 · full quote
Poland therefore welcomes the Council of Europe Framework Convention on AI, the first binding treaty to place AI within the order of human rights, democracy, and the rule of law.

Government of Poland · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote

Arguments against

Consensus and enforcement doubtful

Critics argue that mutually binding rules with real teeth are not politically achievable now. They say states see their own AI systems as competitive advantages, making common standards, meaningful dialogue around moratoria, and any body with powers to enforce decisions unlikely in the near term.

The U.S. and China won’t move in lockstep on AI safety, and forging mutually binding agreements with real teeth is probably not possible right now.

Matt Sheehan · Jul 23, 2026 · full quote
There is no common international standard, and I do not see there being one any time soon, because people see their own system as providing them with a form of competitive advantage that they are unlikely to be willing to give up in the name of international standard setting.

Chris Bates · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote
There seems to be little chance of seeing an international agreement on the approach to be taken, let alone having a body with powers to enforce decisions.

Lord Stevenson of Balmacara · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
I am therefore pessimistic about getting an international dialogue going on the basis of a moratorium, and I think, as the noble Lord just said, that we have to act on our own recognisance.

Baroness Neville-Jones · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote

Prefer flexible cooperation

Some opponents favor shared principles, voluntary cooperation, or memorandums of understanding instead of a single universal treaty. Because countries face different risks, priorities, development levels, and regulatory settings, they argue flexible arrangements are more agile and less likely to stifle innovation.

A one-size-fits-all approach to AI governance will not be effective. We all face different risks, priorities, levels of digital development, and regulatory environments. Effective governance requires shared principles that can be implemented flexibly across different contexts.

Government of Australia · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote
Voluntary cooperation between the two is the only AI security approach agile enough to meet challenges as they arise without stifling innovation.

Katie Strickland · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote
MoUs are entirely appropriate. Co-operation on AI, which we have mentioned, could be a really good candidate for a non-binding agreement in this regard.

Nicolette Butler · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote

Sovereignty over global control

A stronger objection rejects ceding AI authority to international bodies altogether. These critics describe global AI governance as centralized bureaucracy that would sacrifice national self-determination and could be shaped by authoritarian regimes.

a significant overreach of the U.N.'s mandate and competence [...] AI governance is not a matter for the U.N. to dictate. [...] We will not cede authority over AI to international bodies that may be influenced by authoritarian regimes seeking to impose their vision of controlled …

Lauren Lovelace · Feb 12, 2026 · full quote
We totally reject global governance of AI. We believe AI adoption cannot lead to a brighter future if it is subject to bureaucracies and centralized control. Prioritizing AI for your people does not mean joining international efforts that are either purely symbolic or a sacrifice…

Michael Kratsios · 2026 · full quote
We totally reject all efforts by international bodies to assert centralized control and global governance of AI. [...] Ideological fixations on social equity, climate catastrophism and so-called existential risk are dangers to progress and obstacles to responsibly harnessing this…

Michael Kratsios · Sep 24, 2025 · full quote

Limits could reward cheaters

Another critique is strategic: treaty limits or moratoria could constrain the states that obey them while rogue actors or determined competitors continue. From this perspective, countries worried about the pace of AI should act on their own, and the nuclear governance model is not necessarily the right template for AGI.

For me, a one-sided moratorium which ties our hands behind our backs while the likes of North Korea and the al-Qaedas of the world crack on: no, I am afraid that that worries me even more.

Lord Markham · Jan 29, 2026 · full quote
If somebody says, 'This technology is so powerful that we need a global treaty to slow it down,' then I would say: Then take your foot off the accelerator yourself if you think it's moving too fast.

Brad Smith · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote
But the nuclear governance model is actually not a good one for regulation of Artificial General Intelligence.

Ian J. Stewart · 2023 · full quote
There is no common international standard, and I do not see there being one any time soon, because people see their own system as providing them with a form of competitive advantage that they are unlikely to be willing to give up in the name of international standard setting.

Chris Bates · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote

Middle ground

Coordination short of treaty

A narrower area of overlap favors more international coordination even without immediately committing to a binding treaty. In this view, governments should deepen direct cooperation, discuss globally accepted standards, and use flexible principles or non-binding agreements as possible interim steps.

We need an international forum for discussion that establishes globally accepted standards for testing, provides expert and impartial analysis of capabilities and risks, and serves as a venue for cooperation among nations.

Sam Altman · Jun 17, 2026 · full quote
Our relevant agencies must first cooperate so that, in the areas of security and cybersecurity, we have a smooth government-to-government relationship.

Emmanuel Macron · Jun 17, 2026 · full quote
Much more clarity will be needed on what is meant by the “ability to deliberately pace the frontier of AI development”, but I am supportive of international cooperation to define this.

Lauren Deason · Jul 2026 · full quote
A one-size-fits-all approach to AI governance will not be effective. We all face different risks, priorities, levels of digital development, and regulatory environments. Effective governance requires shared principles that can be implemented flexibly across different contexts.

Government of Australia · Jul 7, 2026 · full quote
MoUs are entirely appropriate. Co-operation on AI, which we have mentioned, could be a really good candidate for a non-binding agreement in this regard.

Nicolette Butler · Jun 16, 2026 · full quote

Insights

Across the debate, many speakers accept some need for cross-border coordination on AI, but disagree over whether that coordination must be binding or should remain voluntary and flexible.
Supporters use two partly distinct risk frames: frontier or superintelligent AI as a civilization-scale race problem, and military or autonomous weapons as a more immediate domain for legally binding limits.
Several pro-treaty arguments rely on analogies to nuclear arms control, non-proliferation, or other treaty models, while at least one opponent says the nuclear model is not a good fit for AGI.
Questions of verification and institutions are central: supporters say inspection, audit, technical bodies, and existing conventions can make an accord credible, whereas opponents doubt states will accept enforceable rules with real teeth.
Government and intergovernmental supporters often point to existing instruments such as the Council of Europe Framework Convention or new AI cooperation bodies as evidence that binding governance is already beginning.

The debate turns on a necessity-versus-feasibility divide. Supporters argue that AI's cross-border and potentially catastrophic risks make a binding, verifiable treaty increasingly urgent, while opponents question whether major powers would accept such constraints and warn against one-size-fits-all or sovereignty-limiting governance. Existing conventions and new institutions show movement toward international rules, but there is still sharp disagreement over whether those efforts should culminate in a nuclear-style treaty or stop short of it.

Cast your vote:

Results (158 votes):

Total (158 votes)

For 145 (92%) Abstain 0 (0%) Against 13 (8%)

For (141)

Baroness Teather
Liberal Democrat life peer in the UK House of Lords.

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votes For and says:

In the light of the news today that one of OpenAI’s agents went rogue in an experiment and attacked another AI start-up, does the Minister agree that this indicates an urgent need for global co-operation to agree safeguards and accountability framewo...
more AI Verified source (Jul 22, 2026)

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Baroness Berger
Labour member of the UK House of Lords; former Member of Parliament.

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votes For and says:

Surely the time for giving advice to the tech companies is over. I welcome the Government’s Bill on cyber security and resilience, but it does not extend to AI. Will the UK lead the way and co-ordinate a global agreement on the transparency, oversigh...
more AI Verified source (Jul 22, 2026)

added 12d ago

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Coalition for a Baruch Plan for AI
Coalition advocating a US-China-led treaty for safe and democratically governed artificial intelligence.

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votes For and says:

This far into an unchecked ASI race, only a US-China-led AI treaty — extraordinarily bold, timely and well-designed — can avoid an AI takeover, prevent an immense power concentration, and realize AI’s astounding promise.
AI Verified source (Jul 17, 2026)

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Anne Le Hénanff
French Minister for Artificial Intelligence and Digital Affairs.

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votes For and says:

AI safety and security raise challenges that no single country can address alone.
AI Verified source (Jul 17, 2026) 1 of 2

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2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference & High-Level Meeting on Global AI Governance
Intergovernmental conference on global AI governance held in Shanghai in July 2026.

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votes For and says:

During the Conference, the signing ceremony of the Agreement on the Establishment of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization (WAICO) was held in Shanghai. WAICO will be the world’s first intergovernmental international organization...
more AI Verified source (Jul 17, 2026)

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Xi Jinping
President of the People's Republic of China.

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votes For and says:

AI technologies should be shared and governed by all countries, so that they can benefit all countries on an equitable basis, serve the sustainable development of all humanity, and bridge both the global AI and digital divides and the North-South gap...
more AI Verified source (Jul 17, 2026)

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Wang Yi
Foreign Minister of the People's Republic of China; Director of the Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission

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votes For and says:

On July 16, 2026, the signing ceremony of the Agreement on the Establishment of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization was held in Shanghai. Member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister Wang Yi ...
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World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization
Intergovernmental organization on artificial intelligence established by agreement in Shanghai in July 2026.

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votes For and says:

The Agreement specifies that the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization is an independent intergovernmental international organization that follows the purposes of the UN Charter, upholds the vision of extensive consultation, joint co...
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Lord Beamish
Labour life peer and former UK Member of Parliament.

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votes For and says:

This will have to be approached on an international basis. We also have to recognise that some of our adversaries will not be concerned about regulation. Is that not a challenge that we should face now?
AI Verified source (Jul 16, 2026)

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Daryl G. Kimball
Executive Director of the Arms Control Association; arms-control and nuclear-risk policy expert.

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votes For and says:

So far, other national and multilateral efforts to establish rules of the road and/or legally-binding restrictions on AI uses in the military domain have fallen well short of what is necessary to address the risk of AI in nuclear operations.
AI Verified source (Jul 14, 2026)

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Edmarverson A. dos Santos
Author of a 2026 policy brief on international-law rules, treaty design, and human control for autonomous weapons.

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votes For and says:

This policy brief argues that states should negotiate a legally binding Treaty for Autonomous Weapons built around a two-tier model: prohibiting systems that cannot be lawfully controlled and regulating all remaining autonomous weapon systems through...
more AI Verified source (Jul 10, 2026)

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AI Futures Project
Nonprofit AI forecasting research group behind AI 2027 and Plan A; led by Daniel Kokotajlo.

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votes For and says:

We recommend an international deal between all major world powers to avoid a dangerous race to superintelligence.
AI Verified source (Jul 9, 2026)

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Department for Science, Innovation and Technology
UK government science department

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votes For and says:

The UK has negotiated major global initiatives, including the Council of Europe Framework Convention on AI – the first legally binding international AI treaty; the UN Independent Scientific Panel on AI and Global Dialogue on AI Governance; and the In...
more AI Verified source (Jul 8, 2026)

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European Union
Political and economic union

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votes For and says:

Because we have the same rules applicable everywhere in the world. No matter if you take a plane in Kabul or if you take a plane in New York, the same safety rules apply everywhere. This is exactly what we need to make AI a success for business and f...
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Franco Giandana Gigena

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votes For and says:

We therefore echo calls for the adoption of human rights-centered, binding legal standards and global governance mechanisms to regulate digital surveillance technologies and AI, addressing chilling effects.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Government of Poland
National government of Poland, speaking through its Ministry of Digital Affairs at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance.

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votes For and says:

Poland therefore welcomes the Council of Europe Framework Convention on AI, the first binding treaty to place AI within the order of human rights, democracy, and the rule of law.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Sheikh Abdullah bin Ahmed Al Khalifa
Minister of Transportation and Telecommunications of Bahrain.

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votes For and says:

In collaboration with the Digital Cooperation Organization, the DCO, Bahrain is leading the efforts of exploratory work for initiating a study for a global AI treaty initiative aimed at strengthening international dialogue and cooperation on the gove...
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Government of Bahrain
National government of Bahrain, speaking through its Minister of Transportation and Telecommunications at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance in July 2026.

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votes For and says:

In collaboration with the Digital Cooperation Organization, the DCO, Bahrain is leading the efforts of exploratory work for initiating a study for a global AI treaty initiative aimed at strengthening international dialogue and cooperation on the gove...
more AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Government of Austria
National government of Austria, speaking through its State Secretary in the Federal Chancellery at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance.

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votes For and says:

The world needs a binding framework for the use of AI.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Rafal Kownacki
Director of the Department for International Cooperation at Poland's Ministry of Digital Affairs.

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votes For and says:

Poland therefore welcomes the Council of Europe Framework Convention on AI, the first binding treaty to place AI within the order of human rights, democracy, and the rule of law.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Government of Pakistan
National government of Pakistan, speaking through its delegation at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance in July 2026.

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votes For and says:

Pakistan, therefore, calls for safety norms to be developed through inclusive multilateral processes under the United Nations, where all nations participate as equals.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Government of Bangladesh
National government of Bangladesh, speaking through its delegation at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance in July 2026.

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votes For and says:

A comprehensive governance framework should combine binding legal obligations with ethical standards supported by an independent global evidence base and continued international dialogue to harmonize governance approaches.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026) 1 of 2

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Poland
National government of Poland, speaking through its Ministry of Digital Affairs at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance.

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votes For and says:

Poland therefore welcomes the Council of Europe Framework Convention on AI, the first binding treaty to place AI within the order of human rights, democracy, and the rule of law.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Mexican Society for Artificial Intelligence
Academic association at Universidad Panamericana focused on artificial intelligence in Mexico.

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votes For and says:

In this context, a new international instrument on the governance of AI must prioritize interoperability and a set of legally binding rules that establishes the minimum mandatory standards that are truly applicable in all countries across all regions...
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Franco Giandana Di Gena
Policy analyst at Access Now.

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votes For and says:

We therefore echo calls for the adoption of human rights-centered binding legal standards and global governance mechanisms to regulate digital surveillance technologies and AI, also addressing chilling effects.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Almadou Ag Iliane
Mali's Minister of Communication, Digital Economy and Modernization of the Administration.

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votes For and says:

First of all, the adoption of an international framework for AI governance which respects all and which has clear international rules respecting the rights of developing countries and the sovereign rights of countries to equitably be represented in t...
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Kirti Bardhan Singh
India's Minister of State for External Affairs.

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votes For and says:

AI governance structure must reflect unity of purpose, and our divisions should not allow technology to outrun diplomacy. This Global Dialogue is not merely a forum, it is a deciding forum.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Against (13)

Matt Sheehan
Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, specializing in China’s artificial intelligence ecosystem and global technology issues.

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votes Against and says:

The U.S. and China won’t move in lockstep on AI safety, and forging mutually binding agreements with real teeth is probably not possible right now.
AI Verified source (Jul 23, 2026)

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Government of Australia
Government of Australia speaking through its delegate at the UN Global Dialogue on Artificial Intelligence Governance in July 2026.

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votes Against and says:

A one-size-fits-all approach to AI governance will not be effective. We all face different risks, priorities, levels of digital development, and regulatory environments. Effective governance requires shared principles that can be implemented flexibly...
more AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Katie Strickland
U.S. senior official speaking at the UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance in July 2026.

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votes Against and says:

Voluntary cooperation between the two is the only AI security approach agile enough to meet challenges as they arise without stifling innovation.
AI Verified source (Jul 7, 2026)

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Loading more opinions...

More h/ai-safety votes

Grant whistleblower protections to AI safety researchers

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[🇺🇸 Congress, Oct 2025] Requiring age verification and content safeguards for AI chatbots to protect minors

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